Archive for February, 2009

U.K. Brutal Weather – Worst In 23 Years

Tuesday, February 10th, 2009

The forecast issued in November by the U.K. and U.S. governments indicated a WARM WINTER!  Hmm?  This photo was captured outside the House of Commons this week as angry frozen Britons demanded some answers to the coldest Winter in 23 years, most snow in 18.

20090210_snowmen

With the U.K on track to have the coldest Winter since 1986 (23 years ago) and the 19th coldest of the past 96 years it is not surprising that 75% of Britons now question global warming and fear the green agenda has been hijacked as means to increase their taxes.   While weather is not climate – climate change is also not unusual as the climate has and always will change with or without humans.

It is interesting that since the Pacific Ocean entered it’s 32-year cold phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) Cycle and the Sun went into hibernation with the longest solar minimum in over 100 years in 2006 there has been significantly more cold, wet and snow in many areas across the Northern Hemisphere.  Makes sense – cold Pacific – cold planet!  Recall that the Summer of 2007 in the U.K. was the coldest in 14 years and wettest in 94 with record flooding; September 2008 coldest in 14 years in the U.K.; October 2008 earliest London snowfall in 70 years and the heaviest snowfall in London in 18 years here in February.  Since the PDO shifted, 71% of weeks have been colder than years prior in the U.K.  Climate scientists will again argue this is weather not climate, true, but we can also argue that the very climate models that predicted this warm Winter were dead wrong.  If our government scientists with the most expensive and sophisticated climate models on the planet can’t get the next few months right, why should we believe the models getting the next decade right or the next 100 years right?

These climate models do not understand PDO, they do not understand the influences of the Sun and until they do there will be more surprises and 1000s more scientific skeptics!  The latest skeptic is Dr John Theon former Chief of NASA weather and climate research from 1982-1994, yes James Hansen worked under John. Dr Theon joins the thousands of scientists questioning anthropogenic climate change, “My own belief concerning anthropogenic climate change is that the models do not realistically simulate the climate system because there are many very important sub-grid scale processes that the models either replicate poorly or completely omit.  Furthermore, some scientists have manipulated the observed data to justify their model results.  In doing so, they neither explain what they have modified in the observations, nor explain how they did it.  They have resisted making their work transparent so that it can be replicated independently by other scientists.  This is clearly contrary to how science should be done.  Thus there is no rational justification for using climate model forecasts to determine public policy.” Read Dr Theon’s full position in the U.S. Senate Minority Report Update.

Here in the U.S…coldest Winter in 8 years, snowiest in 13 years.  2008 Coldest in 11 years.  Last several years there have been record late freezes in the Southeast, Florida, California.  Empirical evidence has long been lost in the age of climate computer modeling – our climate is telling us the real deal and it’s time for the Gore’s and Hansen’s of the world to look out the window as the models aren’t doing very well on month 1 let alone month 1,200!